武群丽, 席曼. 考虑绿色证书交易的跨省区电力市场均衡分析[J]. 现代电力, 2021, 38(4): 434-441. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2020.0398
引用本文: 武群丽, 席曼. 考虑绿色证书交易的跨省区电力市场均衡分析[J]. 现代电力, 2021, 38(4): 434-441. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2020.0398
WU Qunli, XI Man. Equilibrium Analysis of Trans-Provincial Electricity Market Considering Tradable Green Certificates[J]. Modern Electric Power, 2021, 38(4): 434-441. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2020.0398
Citation: WU Qunli, XI Man. Equilibrium Analysis of Trans-Provincial Electricity Market Considering Tradable Green Certificates[J]. Modern Electric Power, 2021, 38(4): 434-441. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2020.0398

考虑绿色证书交易的跨省区电力市场均衡分析

Equilibrium Analysis of Trans-Provincial Electricity Market Considering Tradable Green Certificates

  • 摘要: 可再生能源配额和绿色证书制度的落实会对跨省区电力市场及绿色证书交易之间存在的复杂关系产生重要影响。为了定量研究该影响关系,首先搭建了配额制下的跨省区电力交易市场架构;其次,考虑省间发电成本差异性及微观经济学相关理论,建立了火电交易市场与绿电交易市场联合的均衡模型;最后,算例仿真重点分析了不同配额比例下电力市场的均衡结果。结果表明随着配额比例的不断增加,可再生能源交易电量先增加后减少;绿色证书价格先上升后下降;各省总成本关于配额的增加呈现倒“U”型分布;各省参与配额制下的跨省区绿色证书交易较未参与时能够有效降低总成本。构建的模型能够以市场的方式发现可再生能源真实的正外部性价值,引导政府科学设置配额比例,促进可再生能源的跨区消纳。

     

    Abstract: The implementation of the renewable portfolio standards and tradable green certificate scheme will exert significant influences on the complex relationship between the trans-provincial electricity market and the tradable green certificate. To quantitatively investigate these influences, firstly, trans-provincial electricity trading market structure under the renewable portfolio standards was established. Secondly, from the perspective of the difference of power generation cost among provinces and relevant theories of microeconomics, a joint equilibrium model of the thermal power market and the renewable energy power market was proposed. Finally, the electricity market equilibrium under different renewable energy quotas was analyzed through simulation examples. Simulation results show that the amount of renewable energy climbs up and then declines with the continuous increase of renewable energy quotas, and the price of green certificate first rises and then falls. At the same time, the total cost of various provinces presents inverted U-shaped distribution along with the increase of quota, and the total cost of various provinces participating in trans-provincial green certificate transactions under the renewable portfolio standards is lower than that when various provinces has not participated in the transaction. The proposed model can discover the true positive externality value of renewable energy in a market way and guides the government scientifically setting quotas, and promote the cross-regional accommodation of renewable energy.

     

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