王敏, 伍超, 杨心刚, 周健. 基于时间内在相关性的温控负荷提取与特性分析[J]. 现代电力, 2022, 39(4): 478-486. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2021.0122
引用本文: 王敏, 伍超, 杨心刚, 周健. 基于时间内在相关性的温控负荷提取与特性分析[J]. 现代电力, 2022, 39(4): 478-486. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2021.0122
WANG Min, WU Chao, YANG Xingang, ZHOU Jian. Temperature Control Load Extraction and Characteristic Analysis Based on Time-dependent Intrinsic Correlation[J]. Modern Electric Power, 2022, 39(4): 478-486. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2021.0122
Citation: WANG Min, WU Chao, YANG Xingang, ZHOU Jian. Temperature Control Load Extraction and Characteristic Analysis Based on Time-dependent Intrinsic Correlation[J]. Modern Electric Power, 2022, 39(4): 478-486. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2021.0122

基于时间内在相关性的温控负荷提取与特性分析

Temperature Control Load Extraction and Characteristic Analysis Based on Time-dependent Intrinsic Correlation

  • 摘要: 为了平衡用户用电需求与电网调度需求,提升温控负荷的需求响应能力,进一步把握温控负荷的运行规律,从而对调度计划做出预先安排,提出了一种基于改进自适应噪声的完整集合经验模态分解与时间内在相关性的多时间尺度动态相关性分析模型,通过分析负荷与环境温度时间序列在多时间尺度下的动态关联,捕捉其在局部时间段内的复杂变化关系,从而实现负荷曲线中温控负荷波动分量的剥离以及温控负荷占比的估计。通过算例分析说明了所提模型的应用方法,并对有效性做出了验证。

     

    Abstract: To balance the demand of users’ electricity and the demand of power grid dispatching and to improve the ability of demand response of temperature-controlled load as well as to further master the operation rules of temperature-controlled load so that to prearrange the dispatching plan, a multi time-scale dynamic correlation analysis model based on improved complete set of adaptive noise and time internal relatedness was proposed. By means of analyzing the dynamic association of load and environmental temperature time series under multi time-scale,its complex variation relation within partial time period was seized, thus both peeling off the fluctuant component of temperature-controlled load off from the load curve and the estimation of the proportion of temperature-controlled load were implemented. The application method of the proposed model was illustrated by the analysis of computing examples, meanwhile the effectiveness of the proposed model was verified.

     

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