Quantitative Evaluation for Economic Risk of Energy Saving Program in Distribution Network

As to the integrated energy saving techniques and pilot application in urban and rural distribution networks in Chongqing, a quantitative evaluation model is built to regulate economical risk of energy saving program. Through the improvement of the random cash flow, a judging method to determine risk coefficient is proposed in this paper. The risk coefficient of actual energy saving scheme is calculated and recommended scheme is given. It is proved that the risk coefficient of recommended is lower than that of actual scheme, which is helpful for improving of actual scheme. The application of risk coefficient in actual work is summarized in the end.