考虑车-路-站交互与用户非完全理性的电动汽车可调容量评估

Estimation of Electric Vehicle Schedulable Capacity Considering Vehicle-road-station Interaction and Users’ Bounded Rationality

  • 摘要: 电动汽车(electric vehicle,EV)具有快速响应能力,准确评估电动汽车的可调容量是发挥其灵活性价值的前提。基于电动汽车、充电站、路网信息交互的实际背景,提出一种考虑用户非完全理性的可调容量评估方法。首先,基于出行链模拟电动汽车在实际路网的时空分布,并预测充电需求。其次,建立车-路-站交互模型,计及排队因素,预测电动汽车的入网时刻与位置。然后,分析电动汽车用能成本与充放电时长的互动调节关系,刻画用户的非完全理性行为,实现电动汽车可调容量的评估。最后,以某区域路网为例,进行可调容量评估,仿真结果表明,所提方法在评估可调节容量方面具有明显优势。

     

    Abstract: Electric vehicles (EVs) have a fast response capability, so the accurate estimation of EVs’ schedulable capacity is a premise for exerting its value of flexibility. A schedulable capacity estimation model, with users’ bounded rationality taken into account, is proposed based on the practical background of information interaction among EVs, charging stations and traffic network. The temporal-spatial distribution and charging demand of EVs in traffic network is forecasted according to trip chain simulation. Secondly, a vehicle-road-station interaction model incorporating queuing factors is established to forecast the time and location at which EV connects to power grid. Subsequently, the mutual adjustment relationship between the cost of energy consumption and charging or discharging time is analyzed, aiming to characterize users’ bounded rational energy consumption behaviors for estimating EVs’ schedulable capacity. Finally, the schedulable capacity of EVs is estimated through simulation on a certain traffic network, and the results demonstrate the advantages of the proposed method in accurately estimating EVs’ schedulable capacity.

     

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