含CCUS和P2G的新型电碳产业链合作系统分布鲁棒优化模型

Distributed Robust Optimization Model for a New Type of Electric and Carbon Industry Chain Cooperation System With CCUS and P2G

  • 摘要: 随着我国“双碳”和“1+N”政策体系的深入推进,燃气电厂的绿色低碳转型已成为能源系统发展的关键任务。为提升风电、光伏等可再生能源的消纳能力,提出一种融合碳捕集利用与封存(carbon capture,utilization and storage,CCUS)和电转气(power to gas,P2G)技术的电-碳产业链协同优化系统。基于瓦瑟斯坦(Wasserstein)距离构建的风光出力预测误差模糊集,建立相应的两阶段分布鲁棒优化模型,通过求解该模型获得系统在最坏概率分布下的最优运行利润。同时,运用Shapley值法对系统内涉及的四大相关主体进行利益分配。通过算例仿真和对比分析,结果表明,含CCUS和P2G的新型电碳产业链合作系统对于风光发电的利用率有显著提升,CCUS运营商的引入能够显著降低碳排放量、提升碳利用率和系统运行利润。此外,系统中每个利益相关方所分配的利润值都高于独立运行时产生的利润值,为该产业链系统的稳定运行提供保障。

     

    Abstract: With the deepening of China's "double carbon" and "1+N" policy systems, the green and low-carbon transformation of gas-fired power plants has become a key task for the development of energy systems. In order to increase the consumption of renewable energy such as wind power and photovoltaics, we propose a new electric carbon industry chain cooperation system including carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS) and power to gas (P2G). Based on the fuzzy set of wind-power output prediction error of Wasserstein distance, a two-stage distributional robust optimization model is constructed, and the maximum operating profit of the system under the worst-case distribution is solved. The Shapley value method is applied to allocate the benefits among the four primary stakeholders within the system. Through simulation and comparative analysis, the results demonstrate that the new electric-carbon industry chain cooperation system with CCUS and P2G can significantly improve the utilization rate of solar power generation. In addition, the introduction of CCUS operators not only leads to a substantial reduction in carbon emissions, but also enhances both the carbon utilization rate and system operating profits. Moreover, the profit allocated to each stakeholder in the system exceeds that generated during independent operation, thereby providing a guarantee for the stable operation of the industrial chain system.

     

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