考虑通信时延的分布式光伏调控方法

A Dispatch and Control Method for Distributed Photovoltaic Systems Considering Communication Latency

  • 摘要: 当前极高渗透率分布式光伏场景下,调控难度攀升、网络状态变化感知深度不足、调控时延不确定性增加等问题突出。为此,提出一种基于卷积神经网络-双向长短期记忆网络-注意力机制(convolutional neural network-bidirectional long short-term memory network-attention mechanism,CNN-BiLSTM-Attention)的分布式光伏调控时延估计(DPV-DCLE)模型。以调控任务完成率、均方根误差、平均绝对误差、平均偏差误差、决定系数与曲线相似度为评价指标,结合动态时间规整(dynamic time warping,DTW)算法,将基于卷积神经网络-长短期记忆网络(convolutional neural network-long short-term memory,CNN-LSTM)的方法一、基于卷积神经网络-长短期记忆网络-注意力机制的方法二、所提方法、实际时延样本4种情况进行仿真实验对比分析。实验结果表明,所提方法对分布式光伏调控时延的估计更准确,与另外两种方法相比,具有更高的预测精度,能够帮助降低分布式光伏调控时延的不确定性。此时延预估模块在分布式光伏群调群控终端上的集成,为光伏并网精细化的管理提供技术支撑,具有一定的工程应用价值。

     

    Abstract: When a high proportion of distributed photovoltaic (PV) generation is integrated into the power grid, dispatch and control become more challenging, the depth of network state perception is insufficient, and the uncertainty in control latency also increases. To address this issue, a convolutional neural network-bidirectional long short-term memory network-attention mechanism (CNN-BiLSTM-Attention) based model for estimation of latency in dispatch and control of distributed photovoltaics (DPV-DCLE) is proposed. Using task completion rate, root mean square error , mean absolute error, mean bias error, R-squared , and curve similarity as evaluation metrics, combined with the dynamic time warping (DTW) algorithm, a simulation experiment is conducted to compare and analyze four cases: method one based on convolutional neural network-long short-term memory (CNN-LSTM), method two based on CNN-LSTM-Attention, the proposed method, and actual latency samples. Experimental results indicate that the proposed method achieves higher accuracy in estimating the control latency of distributed photovoltaic systems, and outperforms the other two methods in prediction accuracy, which helps to reduce the uncertainty in the control latency of such systems. At this time, the integration of the delay estimation module on the distributed photovoltaic cluster control terminal provides technical support for refined management of photovoltaic grid connection and offers certain engineering application value.

     

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