基于SSA-Transformer-BiLSTM的电力系统日负荷曲线聚类

Clustering of Daily Load Curves in Power Systems Based on SSA-Transformer-BiLSTM

  • 摘要: 日负荷曲线聚类作为电力系统优化调度的基础,可以为电力系统分时电价制定、源网荷储协同调控等提供数据支撑。针对现有负荷聚类方法多尺度时空关联特征提取能力不足、处理高维非线性数据乏力等问题,提出一种融合奇异谱分析(singular spectrum analysis, SSA)、Transformer、双向长短期记忆网络(bidirectional long short-term memory, BiLSTM)的协同聚类方法。首先,利用SSA滤除噪声并提取低频分量;其次,构建Transformer-BiLSTM融合模型挖掘负荷数据中的全局依赖与局部时序特征;最后,使用K-means算法实现聚类。算例结果表明,本方法的聚类指标戴维森堡丁指数(Davies-Bouldin index, DBI)、轮廓系数(silhouette coefficient, SC)、误差平方和(sum of squared error, SSE)分别为0.76、0.5、0.34,具有显著优越性,并在30%噪声比例下仍保持稳定效果,展现出鲁棒性,可以提高高维非线性负荷曲线聚类质量,为精细化负荷预测与调控提供有效工具。

     

    Abstract: Daily load curve clustering serves as the foundation for optimal scheduling of power systems, providing critical data support for formulating time-of-use electricity tariffs and enabling coordinated source-grid-load-storage regulation. To address the limitations of existing load clustering methods, namely, their inability to capture multi-scale spatiotemporal correlations and their lack of the capacity to effectively deal with high-dimensional nonlinear data, a collaborative clustering method that incorporates singular spectrum analysis (SSA), Transformer, and bidirectional long short-term memory (BiLSTM) is proposed. First, SSA is employed to filter out noise and extract low-frequency components. Secondly, a Transformer-BiLSTM fusion model is constructed to capture both global dependencies and local temporal features in the load data. Finally, clusters are generated using the K-means algorithm. Case study results show that the clustering metrics obtained using the proposed method, including Davies Bouldin index (DBI) , silhouette coefficient (SC), and sum of squared error (SSE), are 0.76, 0.5 and 0.34, respectively, thereby exhibiting the superiority of the proposed method. In addition, the methodology demonstrates robustness under 30% noise contamination, significantly enhancing clustering quality for high-dimensional, nonlinear load curves and providing an effective tool for refined load forecasting and regulation.

     

/

返回文章
返回