计及源荷相关的电动汽车虚拟电厂优化调度研究

Optimal Scheduling of Electric Vehicle Virtual Power Plants Considering Source-load Correlation

  • 摘要: 构建新型电力系统,提高新能源占比,给电力电量平衡模式带来挑战。虚拟电厂是解决分布式发电系统优化运行问题的有效途径。文章综合考虑电动汽车需求响应经济性,以及系统源荷相关的不确定性,提出含碳交易机制的电动汽车虚拟电厂日前优化调度模型。首先,应用改进的扩散核密度估计对风光发电、常规负荷以及电动汽车用电负荷数据进行拟合,并基于R藤Copula构建考虑源荷时空相关性的联合概率分布模型,进而生成源荷相关的数据场景;随后,根据电动汽车用电负荷特点界定电动汽车需求响应机制,并引入阶梯碳交易机制构建碳排放成本模型;最后,结合电动汽车虚拟电厂与电网的交互运行,并利用其内部分布式电能资源进行日前优化调度。算例分析表明:考虑源荷相关性的联合分布场景的匹配度更高;对比常规虚拟电厂,所提出的电动汽车虚拟电厂调度模型,在系统运行成本降低、碳排放量减少以及综合成本效益层面,都具有显著的优化效果。

     

    Abstract: The construction of a new power system and the increasing share of new energy sources have brought challenges to power and electricity balance. Virtual power plants are an effective way to address the optimal operation issues of distributed generation systems. Considering the economy benefits of electric vehicle (EV) demand response and the uncertainties related to system sources and loads, this study proposes a day-ahead optimal scheduling model for EV virtual power plants incorporating a carbon trading mechanism. Firstly, the improved diffusion kernel density estimation is applied to fit the data of wind and solar power generation, conventional loads, and EV electricity loads. A joint probability distribution model considering the spatio-temporal correlation of sources and loads is constructed using the R-vine Copula model, and source-load correlated data scenarios are generated. Subsequently, an EV demand response mechanism is defined according to the characteristics of EV electricity loads, and a stepped carbon trading mechanism is introduced to build a carbon emission cost model. Finally, according to the interactive operation between the EV virtual power plant and the power grid, the day-ahead optimal scheduling is carried out using its internal distributed energy resources. Case studies demonstrate that the joint distribution scenarios considering source-load correlation exhibit a higher degree of matching. Compared with conventional virtual power plants, the proposed dispatch model for electric vehicle virtual power plants demonstrates significant optimization effects in terms of system operation cost reduction, carbon emission mitigation, and comprehensive cost-effectiveness enhancement.

     

/

返回文章
返回