赵洱岽, 陈建民, 宋珏池, 张琳舒. 考虑光伏不确定性的电力调度方案构建与对比[J]. 现代电力, 2021, 38(6): 591-600. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2021.0060
引用本文: 赵洱岽, 陈建民, 宋珏池, 张琳舒. 考虑光伏不确定性的电力调度方案构建与对比[J]. 现代电力, 2021, 38(6): 591-600. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2021.0060
ZHAO Erdong, CHEN Jianmin, SONG Juechi, ZHANG Linshu. Construction and Comparation of Power Dispatched Schemes Considering Photovoltaic Uncertainty[J]. Modern Electric Power, 2021, 38(6): 591-600. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2021.0060
Citation: ZHAO Erdong, CHEN Jianmin, SONG Juechi, ZHANG Linshu. Construction and Comparation of Power Dispatched Schemes Considering Photovoltaic Uncertainty[J]. Modern Electric Power, 2021, 38(6): 591-600. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2021.0060

考虑光伏不确定性的电力调度方案构建与对比

Construction and Comparation of Power Dispatched Schemes Considering Photovoltaic Uncertainty

  • 摘要: 为减小光伏发电的不稳定性,制定符合多目标需求的电力调度方案,以低碳性、经济性为原则,将碳交易机制引入电力系统调度,建立了太阳辐照度和光伏发电出力的概率分布模型调度方案,对光伏发电出力采用k-means聚类法,进行场景缩减,提高预测精准性,并在此基础上构建了考虑大规模光伏电源接入后的多目标优化调度模型,目标函数包括火电运行成本、碳交易成本以及污染物排放量,兼顾调度的经济性、低碳环保性。运用熵权法对不同目标赋予权重,转化成单目标函数。在算例分析中,建立了4种不同优化目的的调度方案,并进行定性和定量对比分析,验证该调度模型具有良好的经济性、环保性与可靠性。

     

    Abstract: To reduce the instability of photovoltaic generation it is necessary to formulate a power dispatching scheme to conform to the multi-objective requirements. For this purpose, based on the principle of low carbon and economy and leading the carbon trading mechanism into power system dispatching, a probability distribution model-based dispatching scheme, in which the solar irradiance and photovoltaic generation output were taken into account, was established. The K-means clustering method was applied to photovoltaic generation output to curtail the scenario of photovoltaic generation and improve the predictive accuracy, and on this basis a multi-objective optimal dispatching model after the integration of large-scale photovoltaic generation was constructed. The objective function of the constructed model included the cost of thermal power generation, the cost of carbon trading and the amount of pollution discharge, meanwhile the economy of the dispatching and the low-carbon environmental protection performance were also considered. The entropy weight method was utilized to give weights to different objectives and turned them into single objective functions. In the analysis on calculating example, four dispatching schemes with different optimization purposes are established and the qualitative and quantitative contrastive analyses are performed to verify whether the constructed dispatching model possessing good economy, environmental protection property and reliability.

     

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