王森, 孙欣, 谢敬东, 王思敏, 江海林. 考虑供能可靠性的综合能源系统双层容量配置优化[J]. 现代电力. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2023.0128
引用本文: 王森, 孙欣, 谢敬东, 王思敏, 江海林. 考虑供能可靠性的综合能源系统双层容量配置优化[J]. 现代电力. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2023.0128
WANG Sen, SUN Xin, XIE Jingdong, WANG Simin, JIANG Hailin. Optimization of Double-layer Capacity Configuration for Comprehensive Energy Systems Considering Supply Reliability[J]. Modern Electric Power. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2023.0128
Citation: WANG Sen, SUN Xin, XIE Jingdong, WANG Simin, JIANG Hailin. Optimization of Double-layer Capacity Configuration for Comprehensive Energy Systems Considering Supply Reliability[J]. Modern Electric Power. DOI: 10.19725/j.cnki.1007-2322.2023.0128

考虑供能可靠性的综合能源系统双层容量配置优化

Optimization of Double-layer Capacity Configuration for Comprehensive Energy Systems Considering Supply Reliability

  • 摘要: 为有效降低综合能源系统在容量配置时的成本,提出一种考虑可靠性约束的双层优化配置算法。首先,基于综合能源系统的基本架构,提出上层为容量配置、下层为优化运行的双层容量配置优化模型;然后,在双层容量配置模型中加入利用序贯蒙特卡洛法抽取设备故障的马尔可夫两状态故障转移模型,评估系统的可靠性,并将得到的结果作为系统的可靠性约束;最终,输出满足可靠性约束区间的综合能源系统设备容量配置。结果表明,采用多种能源设备的综合能源系统,不仅提高了新能源机组的利用、降低化石能源的使用,还提高了系统的可靠性。算例同时对比了不同供能可靠性约束下系统容量配置的经济性,验证了文中提出模型的有效性。

     

    Abstract: To effectively reduce the cost of comprehensive energy system capacity allocation, a double-layer optimal allocation algorithm considering reliability constraints was proposed. Firstly, based on the fundamental architecture of the integrated energy system, a double-layer capacity allocation optimization model was carried out, of which the upper layer was for capacity allocation and the lower layer was for optimal operation. Secondly, a Markov two-state fault transition model using sequential Monte Carlo method to extract equipment faults was added to this double-layer capacity allocation model to evaluate the reliability of the system, and the obtained results were taken as the reliability constraints of the system. Ultimately, the equipment capacity configuration of the comprehensive energy system satisfying the reliability constraint interval was output. The outcome demonstrates that the comprehensive energy system with multiple energy equipment not only facilitates the utilization of new energy units and reduces the use of fossil energy, but also improves the reliability of the system. Synchronously, the study case compares the economy of system capacity allocation under different energy supply reliability constraints and verifies the effectiveness of the proposed model.

     

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